Are public opinion polls self-fulfilling prophecies?
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Self - Fulfilling Prophecies
After a quarter century of unbroken development in the theory of allocation under uncertainty, it has become an obvious fact that randomness in endowments, preferences or technology will generally work its way to the prices and allocations which prevail in equilibrium. Is it true, as intuition may suggest in haste, that random prices necessarily reflect some intrinsic uncertainty in the structu...
متن کاملSelf-fulfilling Prophecies and the Business Cycle
We demonstrate that multiple stationary rational-expectations equilibria exist in a version of Lucas’s island economy. The existence of these equilibria follows from the fact that there is an indeterminate set of monetary equilibria in the two-period overlappinggenerations model. We show how to construct stationary rational-expectations equilibria by randomizing over the set of nonstationary mo...
متن کاملThe welfare effects of public opinion polls
This paper presents an experimental study of the effects of polls on voters’ welfare. The analysis shows that polls have a different effect on closely divided and lopsided divided electorates. The data show that in closely divided electorates (and only for these electorates) the provision of information on the voters’ distribution of preferences significantly raises the participation of subject...
متن کاملSelf-Fulfilling Prophecies: Mechanisms, Power, and Links to Social Problems
A core theme of social psychology is that perceivers can shape targets’ future behaviors through self-fulfilling prophecies. Self-fulfilling prophecies occur when perceivers’ false beliefs about targets initiate a sequence of events that ultimately cause targets to exhibit expectancy-consistent behaviors, thereby causing perceivers’ initially false beliefs to become true. This article reviews t...
متن کاملCatharsis, aggression, and persuasive influence: self-fulfilling or self-defeating prophecies?
Does media endorsement for catharsis produce a self-fulfilling or a self-defeating prophecy? In Study 1, participants who read a procatharsis message (claiming that aggressive action is a good way to relax and reduce anger) subsequently expressed a greater desire to hit a punching bag than did participants who read an anticatharsis message. In Study 2, participants read the same messages and th...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Research & Politics
سال: 2014
ISSN: 2053-1680,2053-1680
DOI: 10.1177/2053168014547667